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Constructive Conflict Guide > Civic Knowledge and Skills That We Can Use to Help Ourselves and Our Society More Constructively Handle Intractable Conflict > Stripping Away "Overlay" Problems That Make Conflicts Appear More Intractable Than They Really Are > Resolving Fact-Based Sources of Conflict
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BI Article
Uncertainty
When a conflict involves complex elements and unknowns, it is often a significant reason why the conflict becomes intractable in the first place. This essay offers suggestions for dealing with diversity.
BI Article
Dealing with Risk and Uncertainty
Unavoidable risks and uncertainties make wise decision-making especially difficult. These difficulties are compounded by cognitive traps that lead us to believe that we have certainty when we don't. A better approach is to remain flexible and monitor changing conditions so that we can adapt quickly.
BI Article
From the Hyper-Polarization Discussion: Anne Leslie: Embracing Ambiguity
A summary of an excellent talk IBM security expert gave to a conflict resolution audience on dealing with complexity and uncertainty.
BI Article
Anne Leslie: Why Hope Dies Last...and Why I Stopped Being an Optimist
When you recognize uncertainty, you recognize that you may be able to influence the outcomes -- you alone or you in concert with a few dozen or several million others.
BI Article
Matt Legge: COVID-19 and Responses to Uncertainty
An article explaining how uncertainty molds our response to the pandemic and other social challenges--and what should be done about it.
BI Article
Living with Uncertainty in the COVID-19 Era
A succinct explanation of things we should all be thinking about as we struggle to deal with the uncertainties of the COVID-19 era.
Colleague Activities
Leaning in to Conflict and Leaning into Uncertainty
A website documenting and expanding upon three online conversations on conflict, complexity, and uncertainty.
Colleague Activities
Leadership for Navigating Uncertainty
Thoughts about responsive, collaborative, and disruptive-emergent leadership, and how we might use this understanding of these leadership forms to ensure we lean into deep, durable and transformative change.
Colleague Activities
Facing Uncertainty Together: How Philanthropy Can Stand for Democracy in Challenging Times
A look at how the philanthropic sector views democracy's ongoing crisis and their role in helping to address that crisis.
News and Opinion
Surrendering to Uncertainty
News and Opinion
The Certainty of Uncertainty
For a world in which risk is everywhere and uncertainty is omnipresent, a retrospective look at the work of Frank Knight and his pioneering work on strategies for dealing with uncertainty.