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Intractable Conflict Threat and Opportunity >
Runaway Escalation and Hyper-Polarization >
Societal Level Intractable Conflict Threat
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BI Article
The Risk of Large-Scale Civil Unrest and Violence in the United States
Comparing now to the 1960s, this video wonders whether our conflicts could get as bad---or worse---than those experienced then.
Colleague Activities
Polarization, Democracy, and Political Violence in the United States: What the Research Says
From Rachel Kleinfeld and the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, an extensive, must-read analysis of the origins of the United States' ongoing political difficulties.
Colleague Activities
The Rise of Political Violence in the United States
An exhaustive analysis of recent trends in political violence in the United States -- violence that, thankfully, is still far below what the US experienced in the 1960s and early 1970s.
BI Article
The Crane Brinton Effect
The Crane Brinton effect explains why revolutionary uprisings against tyrants tend to produce just another tyrant (rather than a more just society).
BI Article
Escalation is the Most Dangerous Force on the Planet. But We Continue to Drive It
Driven by many interacting feedback loops, escalation can get out of control quickly--leading to violence or even worse.
BI Article
More responses to Friends and Family + Democracy Subversion from Rosa Zubizarreta
Rosa Zubizarreta's thoughts about better ways to talk across differences without destroying relationships, and the relationship between our hyper-polarized politics and the increasing risk of large-scale war.
BI Article
What Happens When We Have ANOTHER Election That Both Sides Absolutely Positively Can't Afford to Lose?
The US 2024 presidential election is shaping up to be extremely challenging for U.S. democracy, but there are things that can be done to make sure it is both trustworthy and trusted.
BI Article
Shamil Idriss: America's Hard Path Forward
America is in a dangerous time, but there are things we can do to take a path away from further dissension and violence, toward healing and cooperation.
Colleague Activities
Polarization and political violence: Rachel Kleinfeld.
Ppeople talking across differences isn't enough to end polarization, even if it can create goodwill. There needs to be institutional change and politicians who come together to defend democratic norms.
BI Article
Peter Adler: COVID Consequences: Slouching Toward Civil War
A report on a poll regarding likelihood of civil war in America, and what that means for conflict resolution work.
News and Opinion
We need to prepare for ongoing insurrectionary violence and address its root causes
News and Opinion
Fearing violence and political uncertainty, Americans are buying millions more firearms
Another reason why we all need to do all that we can to help diffuse our hyperpolarized politics.
News and Opinion
Expelled from a Progressive Think Tank---for the Crime of Denouncing Antifa Violence
News and Opinion
Banning Hate Speech Won't End Extremist Violence
News and Opinion
The New Era of Political Violence Is Here
A look at a possible next step in the escalation of our social and political conflicts --- a step that will start crossing the taboo line that separates violent from nonviolent conflict.
News and Opinion
Support for political violence depends on specifics, study shows
News and Opinion
Anger and radicalization': rising number of Americans say political violence is justified
Yet another poll indicating that the United States is precariously close to crossing the taboo line that normally prevents our hardball politics from crossing the line into outright violence.
News and Opinion
The Subtle Ways Even Peaceful Partisans Enable Political Violence
News and Opinion
Our Long, Forgotten History of Election-Related Violence
News and Opinion
Medical advances mask epidemic of violence by cutting murder rate
News and Opinion
The Seeds of Political Violence Are Being Sown in Church
News and Opinion
The U.S. Has a Violence Problem, and It's Up to Democrats to Solve It
News and Opinion
Collectivism and Violence are One
Colleague Activities
Political Violence and the 2022 Elections: Rachel Kleinfeld
A discussion and exploration of why the November 2022 elections in the United States did not turn violent. While it is "impossible to prove a negative," Kleinfeld makes a number of observations that likely contriuted to this outcome, and might so again in the future.
Colleague Activities
Bootprint -- Militarism and the Environment
A new journal from the Transnational Foundation examining the intersections between violence and environmental crises.