This rough transcript provides a text alternative to audio. We apologize for occasional errors and unintelligible sections (which are marked with ???).
Victor Kremenyuk
Deputy Director of the Institute for USA and Canada Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences
Interviewed by Jennifer Goldman — 2003
 Listen Online
Q:
So I have a general sense of the field that you're in from the e-mail
that I received from William Zartman and some other things. But before we officially begin the
interview, I'd like to gain
a better understanding of your background.
So please tell me anything you think would be particularly helpful for me
to know about your work, your current work, your background...before we begin.
A:
So I am in the field about more than three decades.
And, originally, my subject was the Soviet/American relationship in the
days of the Cold War. Mainly the
conflicts in this original relationship, including the theory of conflict, the
study of conflict, resolution of conflict, crisis management, negotions, and
conflict resolution, of course. As
well I was, of course, engaged in the research not only of the direct
Soviet/American conflict, but also some other conflicts which you have
already mentioned, like the Middle East, Vietnam, Korea, some other regional
conflicts, mainly in the ??? of the Soviet Union - of the then Soviet
Union. Since then, of course, I was
engaged in some both open and closed research of this subject, preparing some
position papers and policy papers for the government, but also publishing
widely, both in Russian and English. And
I think that maybe the best years or days in my research are behind because the
most exciting period was, of course, the resolution of the Soviet/American
conflict...that is the end of the Cold War when I was currently engaged in
research and also in preparing some practical solutions.
I also was in very close contact with my American colleagues on the
problem of resolution, including Bill Zartman, whom you know, but also the
differ rent projects at the Harvard University, the Brown University and
Berkley. So that helped me to
conduct research, not only in the Soviet system or the Soviet centers, but also
the international centers. That
also helped me to begin some international research projects like the
Negotiation Research at IIASA. That is the International Institute for Applied
Systems Analysis...at the Salzburg Seminar and in some other research places
in...both in Europe and the Americas. Recently,
now I am mainly engaged in Russian foreign policy-making, Russian-American
policy in the West and in the East. Also,
sometime, of course, I have to pay to the problems of the Russian attitudes
towards different conflict. In many
way, my maybe best work was published on conflicts in and around Russia. It was published in
1994 in English in the Greenwood
Publishers in the United States So
this my...widely my background...the area where I worked and the subject which I
touched in my research.
Q:
That's very helpful and I'm sure we'll come back to some of things that
you mentioned. Right now, it would
be helpful for me to gain a better understanding of how you think about enduring
conflict situations or these intractable conflict situations.
A:
Well, I think, you know, that there is a certain unexpected development
in this area because when the Cold War ended, there was a feeling...rather
wide-spread, both in this country and in the international community that that
opened a possibility to put an end to almost all the conflicts, including the
intractable conflicts. There was such an enthusiasm shared by many people in the United
Nations, in separate nations that we can move on and work out solutions of
almost all of the conflict which existed. And,
of course, that was supported somehow by the developments in South Africa, in
Afghanistan, even in the Middle East where the possibility of some direct
Arab-Israel talks was hoped. I think that now, of course, those days are behind,
and now we are facing the
situation that not all the conflicts were solved and not all the conflicts can
be solved. Still, you know, we have
the very significant or very, say important situation when the conflict
continues, not only because of some civilizational things, not only because of
the gap between the rich and the poor, but simply because the human society has
not yet grown up to the level when it can really
put an end to the conflict. The
human society still needs some conflicts to go
ahead, to develop. And this
concerns not only the group of the backward nations, which are simply
in the situation when they cannot live without conflicts.
The group of nations which labeled like the Access of Evil or the rogue
state, but only more developed nations. They're still mostly
???...in the stage when they need to preserve the conflictual
development rather than non-conflictual development. So still the problems of the conflicts
continue to be
extremely, extremely (?posit?---usage) It
needs, of course, continuation of the research on the problems of management of
the conflicts. Still, you know, the
possibilities of both old conflicts and new conflicts is still very high, and
the effort, you know, by the international community to undertake something, to
do something to work on this conflicts is still ahead, not behind.
It also includes such new say new ...areas by "terrorism", like
some illegal activities, drugs and so on. Mainly
this is still the problem of the human thinking, you know, because the human
thinking very often, even in the developed nations prefers the controversial
development rather than some development based on the search for consensus.
Q:
Human thinking prefers the controversial rather than...?
A:
...non-controversial, you know, rather than the search for consensus.
Q:
Can you tell me more about...? Is
that a kind of theory, the problem of human thinking or is that just the words
that you are using today?
A:
It's a combination, you know. The
human thinking...the patterns of human thinking and the real situation in some
parts of the world. The problem,
you know, now simply now has changed because of this globalization trends, which
has changed the situation in the international relations into a say much more
dramatic than it had been previously because of several groups of nations which
have emerged. The group what I call
the successful nations, you know, the nations of the West, which have achieved
rather high developmental stability...rather high development of the human
relation...of the respect to the human rights and the capability to provide the
basic human needs to the members of the society. Then the group of the nations which, let's say,
try to become
successful but still are far from there, like Russia, or China, or India, or
Iran, or the others...the nations which try to work out some sensible
development strategy but still are far from the desirable level. And then the group of, let's say,
failed states, you know,
the states which still exist...you know...something like the stone age...you
know...they are backward; they are poor; they are ravished with the conflict.
And, you know, just...the problem is that them ore developed, more
civilized states, they cannot work out a sensible strategy.
Very often they prefer instead of successful strategy, they prefer simply
force...calling it counter-terrorist strategy like that.
But, you know, at least they lay mainly on the coercion...on the violence
rather on the attempt, you know, how to change the situation in the backward
areas of the world. So that's what
I mean when I say that it appeared that, you know, that very...very often even
the developed nations they prefer simply to use violence rather than to work out
some sensible solution.
Q:
And what do you think is the cause underlying those...the strategy to use
violence rather than working out a solution?
A:
Well, to say briefly
I think Huntington has described it rather brilliantly...clash of
civilizations in which the more developed civilizations they...due to the fact
of their power, they acquire a lot of arrogance and instead of trying to do
something to help the younger brothers, they prefer to be the sheriffs, assume
the position of the policeman. And
that, of course, puts the problem of conflict into... ?__________?...because
that makes the conflict inevitable, it perpetuates the conflict.
Q:
So there's some responsibility that the more developed nations are not
taking and if they would take that responsibility more seriously, it sounds like
you're saying you think it would help.
A:
Yeah. It's a challenge,
first of all, for the more developed nations because either they feel the
leaders of the whole universal. And
that would mean, of course, a totally different strategy and totally different
level of responsibility or they feel that they are the best among the others and
they would prefer simply to defend their interests against anyone, you know, the
barbarians or terrorists or poor people or say religious fanatics, but
anyway...they simply regard themselves as bastions, as enclaves, as fortresses.
And that's why they have the strategy of something...the strategy of
coercion, which I say, perpetuates the conflict because in this way they can put
an end to the conflict only if they simply annihilate their enemies.
Q:
Now, can you... If we asked
you to help in such kinds of situations, how would you approach them or what
would you do?
A:
Well, I would begin maybe with some very good and careful inventory of
the whole state of affairs in the world, you know, because maybe along the lines
that I have already outlined, you know, the new groups of the nations, the
identification of the most dangerous and the most unstable pieces in this
relationship...maybe poverty, maybe you know, just...feeling of desperation, of
frustration among the whole groups of the population in the whole area. And then maybe
working out some
appropriate strategy for this...to help them to overcome their current
situation. So reduce the amount of
the people who would prefer some violent solution...to work carefully...to
encourage those people in these nations, which would be appropriate for some
constructive development and so forth. But
that should not be carried out as an individual effort of any nation, including
the United States. It should be
taken out as the global effort. One
of the...maybe...of the purposes of the global community. The second, of course, I would put the
question of the
responsibility of those governments which still continue to use violence against
some people in their nations or abroad...like Chechnya, or like Iraq, like
Afghanistan, you know, because we understand that very often, just simply the use of force which is
described as a way of solution leads to nowhere. It leads to deepening the conflict. It leads to the
new stages of the destruction instead of any constructive development.
So the responsibility of the government for their policies.
Then, third, maybe, you know, something like the sensible international
global strategy just to reduce the sources of this conflict and to create the
conditions to overcome this problem...to put an end to that.
Conflict resolution effort, especially in such areas as you label
intractable conflict, the Middle East, India Pakistan, Koreans, the others, you
know...not to bomb them but really to help them and to encourage to look for
some constructive solutions. So
maybe some others...you know...educational measures and some others should also
be taken. But at least these three
areas of actions would be absolutely indispensable in order to overcome the
existing conflict and to avoid the conflicts in the future.
Q:
So you just mentioned three different ways that you might approach these
kinds of conflicts. Let me
repeat back what I think I heard you say to make sure I've got it right.
The first piece of what you said was that you think there should be some
kind of international global effort to help different nations encourage less
violence, reduce violence among the people and that it should not just be a
United States-led effort but really a global effort?
A:
That's right.
Q:
The second one that you mentioned is that there should be responsibility
placed on the governments who do use violence against their own or other people,
such as Chechnya, Iraq, Iran...
A:
That's right.
Q:
...other places. And then
the third seems similar to the first...and tell me if I'm...
A:
No, no, no. The first task
sound a bit, you know, wide. But it
means something like a strategy to avoid the conflicts in the future and to
reduce the possibility for the current conflict while the third one is a more or
less concrete, specific, conflict resolution strategy for those areas where they
exist and where they have acquired, you know, the intractability.
Q:
Okay. And when you talk
about an international global strategy or effort...?
A:
Yes.
Q:
Can you say more about how do you envision that?
What does that mean to you?
A:
Well, I tried to write about that and even publish in our
newspaper, it's identification of the sources of the sources of the possible
conflicts, conflicts in the future. Like environmental conflicts, you know,
caused by the different consequences of the global development for the
environment, like Kyoto Protocol and so on because different nations would
suffer differently because of the consequences...like the resources wars because
of the inequality of the resources distribution in the world and the need for
different nations to have an access to the resources which they don't have but
they need badly like electric power or other sources of power.
Then the population wars caused by this...the inability, you know, large
sections of the population to simply survive in some areas and what forces them
emigrate...to get access to some better organized societies.
Like just the millions of people who went to emigrate to the United
States or to Europe or to some developed nations in Asia and the wars
based on impossibility of some societies to take in all those amounts of people
who want to emigrate. So the wars
based on the inequality of the development and inequality of the resources...the
situation of the inequality over any other things and the inequality of
consequences of industrial development for the environment and so on. So, first of all, I think
that a large effort should be taken
to try to identity where can we expect the conflicts....why they should come.
I'm excluding now ideological conflicts.
I'm excluding maybe conflicts based on some religious differences because
more or less they are known and we have already knowledge how...what do with
them but not with the others. And
then on the basis of this inventory, you know, just to try to work out sensible
strategies...how can all these conflicts...expected conflicts be treated.
What should be done for this purpose; what resources we need; what
strategies should be worked out; and what purposes should be set; how can we
avoid all these population wars, resources wars, environmental wars and so on.
This is roughly what I think about this part of the subject.
Q:
And so there would be some kind of international or global group that
would get together and help all around the world different conflict
situations...
A:
You know, I don't think particularly of any one agency.
But we have already enough of the international groups, for us and so on.
Like, for example, the G-8 could do something here.
And, as far as I know, the G-8 is trying to do...
There is something like an effort within that group on the conflict
identification and the problems of working out the level of strategy. The U.N., of course can do
something about it.
NATO can do within its area of responsibility...other regional
organizations. So we have
the mechanisms. The problem is
simply to give the people the sense of where are the problems related to
conflicts exist and what they should to avoid that.
Because I say, you know, if we set as a moral principle that there will
be no more...no more violent solutions maybe only in some cases when really have
to do with some criminals like maybe the narco barons in the Latin America.
But mainly as a principle, no more violent solutions, only non-violent
solutions...legally based. The solutions oriented towards th use of some economic
measures, social, cultureal measures, social measures, educational effort.
In that sense, you know, just, of course, we should need all these
mechanisms to start working.
Q:
And is there some theoretical material or background that informs the
approach that you're suggesting?
A:
Yes, of course. I have
completed a month or two months ago an article for some Russian theoretical
magazine on the conflict management in thecurrent situation.
Of course, that needs some additional theoretical research...not so much
maybe on the strategy of conflict because that is, more or less, we have worked
out during the days of the Cold War. I
think it simply should be stressed on conflict resolution and conflict
management. You know, these two
disciplines. Conflict resolution is
also, more or less, worked out...maybe it simply needs some additional things.
I think that what I would suggest is conflict management...a new thing
which should become like a cover notion for all the efforts which concern the
conflict...the subject of the conflict...that is conflict control, conflict
avoidance, conflict resolution, all this subjects should go under this major cup
of the conflict management, which still needs or rather I will say intensive
international research. What is the
conflict management? What purposes
it should bear? What type of
mechanisms should be suggested? What
types of strategies these mechanisms should carry out in order to put the
existing and the possible future conflict on some manageable
grounds.
Q:
So again, I'll repeat back what I think you just said that we can go
deeper into some of the things you said. So
it sounds like you feel there are two different area here: one would be
conflict resolution and the other is conflict management.
And under conflict management, it includes conflict control, conflict
avoidance and conflict resolution.
A:
Resolution.
Q:
Okay. Can you say more about
each of those three: Conflict
control, conflict avoidance, and conflict resolution and how you envision those?
A:
I have to think, you know, because some of them are, as I say, are more
known and already studied in depth....those at the UN level and in different
national research centers like Bill Zartman in the U.S....so many other peole, you
know, U.S. like the people were make research of conflict resolution in the Anna Arbor in the U.S. so
I think that you know maybe even more than me about these people working in
those area...I mean, the conflict resolution as such.
Conflict control is a bit different, but it also was worked out by,
mainly it was...the idea was helped by the U.N - US
Association. There was even such a
work called Controlling the Conflicts. It
was still in the seventies, but the ideas which were laid down, I think, are
still applicable for the subject today. Conflict
avoidance was the subject, I think, awareded by the former U.N.
Secretary General Butros Ghali. He has
said this as a subject in the nineties, when I say there was a euphoria among
the leading nations which felt that they can deal with all the conflict;
they can put the end to all the conflicts and then and a top purpose of
that was this problem of conflict avoidance.
That is what to do to avoid the conflicts in the future?
So I think that this different subjects they were worked out sometimes
because of specific tasks, for example, the Cold War.
Or in some cases when the people simply wanted to use the existing
facilites...like the U.N. Association of the United States.
Now I say, you know, just all the...even there was the concept of the
conflict reduction...was worked out together jointly by Bill Gartman and myself,
and we have made even a book on that in 1995.
But now I feel simply that all these separate disciplines should be put
together under this cover of the conflict management and the subject of the
conflict management should be spelled out as a purpose of the global community.
Q:
Okay. You've talked a little
bit about this already...
A:
Yeah.
Q:
In an idea world, what do you believe needs to happen to deal with these
kinds of situations that we're talking about?
A:
In the ideal world?
Q:
Mm-hm.
A:
I don't know what is the idea world.
Q:
Oh.
B;
We have the world that we have. Simply... Very often the world changes because of what are doing or not
doing. So I think, you know, that
the fact now we are facing again this role of the intractable conflicts
and the role of the possible conflicts, is the result of the failure by
the leading nations of the world to use the opportunity which was opened with
the end of the Cold War and to start the program of the ocnflict resolution or
conflict management more intensively.. Instead
of that...the nations sort of relaxed and they have simply missed the
opportunity to work hard on that. that's
why, you know, this was gap growing between the developed, less developed
nations. That's why, you know, just
some areas in the world have appeared, which are simply producing conflict
almost daily. Again, the poor
nations in Africa, the nations like Aphghanistan or Sri Lanka, or Bangladesh or
Pakistan...in Asia, you know...or the poor nations in the Latin America which
produce all these drug problems. So
I think that, to a logical stand, it was a responsibility for the results or the
lack of responsibility on the part of the leading nations, that we have
run into these problems. So now
this is the high time to understand what the ???
They have to unite their forces. They
have to work out something like a code of conduct like it was in the last days
of the Cold War which would help to at least avoid creating the situations like
similar to Chechnia, you know, creating the sitatuations when the conflict would
be simply perpectuated and become really intractable.
So, first of all to work out a code of conduct for themselves and then,
on the basis of that, to to start working with the existing or potential
adversities and to try to prove them. To
also...to accept some rules of conduct, you know, as I say, you know, because to
a large extent my background was based on the Cold War relationship.
I remember how important there
was the problem of the working out of the working out the code of conduct
between the two super powers and thus maybe to lead to the end of the conflict
??? between them. Something
similar should be done right now between that part of the world community which
may be called as responsible and forward looking and the other part
of the world community I would not... I
would avoid to call them irresponsible, but still, you know, to the other part
of the world community which still seeks conflicts, which still seeks some
benefit in subversion of the existing order.
Q:
And what is the purpose of the code of conduct?
A:
The purpose, first of all, is not to do something which may lead to the
aggraivation of the conflict, not to understake some forays against the other
nations, which maybe are not that developed as the more developed nations, but
still which still not treated as simply as sites...for their aiffoce exercises
and so on. So to say to take some
code of conduct which would avoid...which would prevent the possibilities when
the more developed nations create because of their arrogance and because of
their inability to work out some peaceful strategy.
That's number one and then number two of the conduct is to suggest to the adversaries, which
exists right now, people
like...I don't know...like Iatolahs, for example, in Iran, or the leadership of
the North Korea, to suggest to them this conduct and to make sure that we could
respond somehow to this proposal. I think, you know, there is simply no other
way.
Q:
So is the idea behind the code of conduct that there would be equal
codes for everyone all around the world?
A:
Yes, that's right. Something
which is based on the U.N. Charter. We
have the U.N. Charter. We have the
U.N. Charter; but you understand it is usually, you know, Orwell was saying
that we all are equal, but there are more than the others.
So we should work out the standards of the conduct, the standards of
behavior, which would really just give a possibility to all the nations and how
to heal that,you know, they have respected and that they can hope for some
better future. Not to put them into the position of rogue states, you know,
which are simply maybe labeled just as the gain for the hunting...for the
hunters or in the position of the Axis of Evil, you know. You feel that they are simply doomed to
be bombed one day.
So to avoid such situations. I
think that this is much more promising than simply to prepare the armed forces.
Q:
Now, you've mentioned a couple of times in our conversation the idea that
we are in some kind of evolution. That's
my word, but evolution of the world where we've come from warring states and
we're moving towards a more peaceful world.
Do I have it right? Is that
part of your thinking about...?
A:
Yes.
Q:
...resolving conflict.
A:
Yeah, but simply, you know, this depends on what we are doing today. There is a chance that we
may move from one world, one type
of the world into a another type of the world.
There is a strong chance because of the globalization, because of the
existence of this global community. But
that doesn't mean that it will happen automatically. It may happen only if we do something for
that.
Then, of course, we are doomed to have the situation where we shall have
an America fortress, for example, in the Noarh-American hemisphere, maybe
something other developed enclaves, which would be increasing their military
capability...the hand that fell against the barbarians, like NATO countries and
so on. And all the rest of the
wolrd which will simply poor, savage, looking with some greediness at the more
developed nations. So we shall have the situation which I label in some of my
writing as Rome and the Barbarians. The
situation where Rome will inevitably be run over by the Barbarians sooner or
later because these people have nothing to lose. They want better living and they think that the
only way to
the better living is to rob the...to conquer the rogue. And sooner or later they will do it. So to
avoid that, of course, we need some different
philosophy.
Q:
A different philosophy being conflict resolution, globalization...
A:
Yes. That's right. Yes.
Q:
Okay. If you could use a
metaphor or an image to describe the kinds of situations that we're talking
about, what metaphors or images would you use and why would you use them? You can take a
moment to think about that.
That's always a hard one for folks.
A:
I don't know. What type of
situations do you mean, you know, for example, to describe the current situation
regarding the United States strategy is, of course, the world's policieman.
When I was
commenting, you know, some of the decisions by your administration, I said that
at least two years ago it had a choice to become either the world's leader - a
good father creating something like a paternalistic relations between the U.S.
and the nations which need mostly the U.S. attention and US generosity.
And the alternative was to become a policeman...a tough policeman and to
hunt for the criminals. And the
choice was made by the American administration to become a policeman, which
sounds maybe more attractable, which maybe attracts some more support on the
part of the American public, but I think, you know, which was very short-sighted
because inevitably it will put on the U.S, with all its undeniable achievements
into the position of defending country...you know...the country fortress because
it will be hated...because it will be regarded as a hostile force by the
billions of people in the world...rest of the world.
So this is one of the types of the metaphors I am using in my analysis.
Q:
And our there any metaphors you're thinking of to describe the conflict
situations themselves? You
described a metaphor for the intervenors...well, the way that I'm thinking about
about the intervenors in the conflict situation.
A:
No, frankly... Well, of
course, I think, you know...there can be some metaphors, like for example, the
trouble-makers because we have always to look after them.
But we equally have to be very cautious in separating the
trouble-makers from the rest of the people because in every nation, Islamic
nation or not, you will have these troublemakers who would raise noise, who
would declare some holy wars, you know, on the infidels and so on, which does
not need...the rest of the society shares their goals.
Simply the rest of the societies either has no possibility to spell out
their goals or simply it is ignored under the domination of these people.
So there should be very careful policy in doing that.
Like, for example, take the Iraq and the situation in Iraq. I think that
on one hand of course the American
operation there was extremely successful because it has managed to put an end to one of the most
dictitorial regimes in the current world,
but something was made wrong - something was not made - which has forced the Iraqis to
resist against this, which now makes the which now makes the conflict intractable.
So the question is what was not
done? Who is responsible for that?
Why the possibility just to put a real end to the conflict was not
realized. Where were the
mistakes? And I think to that
extent...because the answer to his question should be given through what I'm
trying to talk about...that is no idea of confict management...the half-baked
idea of dealing a blow and after that I don't care anymore, which is wrong.
But that has little to do with your question metaphors.
But simply , cannot think of any other metaphor right now.
Q:
Okay. So earlier in our
conversation you mentioned that it would be helpful to identify future sources
of conflict such as environmental conflct, resource wars and need of different
countries to have access to resoures, population wars. And after that you
mentioned that these are particularly helpful for us to think about and that
they are different from idealogical or religious conflicts.
And when you spoke about the idealogical and religious one, you mentioned
that you felt that we had already figured out kinds of solutions or ways to deal
with those conflicts. Did I hear
you correctly in saying that, and if I did...
A:
Ah, not exactly. Because I
wouldn't say that we know what to do with those.
At least, these types of conflicts is known to us.
At least, you know, Huntington in his work on the clash of civilizations have
touched this side of the problem. That
is idealogical...the impact of religion on the conflict, the impact
of the ideologies, and so on. So at
least this is a known evil for us.
Q:
Got it.
A:
I hope maybe I have been exaggerating our abilities, but I
least I hope we know what to do with that.
But so far we have not studied yet the relation between these idealogical
religious sides and the problems which are related to the, I say, the inequality
of the resources , inequality of the capablilities the inequality of
expectations for the billions of the people.
Very often what we label as a religious war in reality is a resrouces war
and visa versa.
Q:
Can you say more about that? How
is that so?
A:
Beg your pardon?
Q:
So in the case where we think something is a religious war but it's
really a resources war...because you're saying people are making...
A:
Oh, yes, yes, of course. I
understand. Yes.
Recently, I read something in the Russian press...an article which really
just made feel furious because the person there was writing about terrorisim and
hinting that terrorism is tightly connected to the Islam as a
religion. And I think I thought
that that either the person is simply illiterate and does not know many things,
or he is writing because someone asked him to write that.
Because, of course, may be labeled as the religion, which some say is
tightly connected to fantaticism or which can produce conflicts very often.
But the problem is mainly the Islamic people, they
live ina poor country. There are
among them rich countires like Saudi Arabia or Kuwait, but they are not very
numerous. The rest of Muslim world,
which is almost a billion peole, are poor, backward, illiterate.
They suffer; they are under-nurished.
You know, they suffer the diseases.
No one cares..even their own rulers...how to help them.
But at the same time, of ocurse, you know, the expectations of those
millions of the people... They are
framed as idealogical conflict with the infidel West.
And many researchers even...they take this as the truth, and they say,
yah, I see...the Islam is so much...there's so much unrest, there's so much
aggression and so. It's not
aggression; it reflects the feelings of the desperate people.
Q:
That's very interesting. So
you're saying that conflicts arise and whow themselves to be idealogically or
religiously based when, in fact, the feelings of desperation that lead to
terrorist acts actually come from people feeling under-nurished and poor and
don't have enough basic needs.
A:
That's right...especially in the current world...a globalized world.
You know, it maybe was much easier to live, say, a hundred years ago when
millions of people somewhere in Egypt or in some other...
They never knew anything about America...about the high standards of
lving in the more developed nations. They
lived a traditional life. But due
to the globalization, this isolation was broken.
And now millions of people in India or Bangladesh or in any other, you
knw, just...poor country, they know that there are nations which live much
better or millions of people here in Russia, they also know...
They have seen movies, you know, they have seen other TV programs. So they know that in
other nations people live much better.
So the problem is now what to do with their desire to live better.
Then it'd be framed as a constructive force which will make the people
become more active for reforms, for changing their lives, or it may be used to
frame a hostility towards the richer country...to say that you are poor because
they are rich...to frame the whole attitude in the terms of the zero-sum gain.
If you want to become richer, they should be robbed.
So this is the only possibility for you to become rich.
Then, of course, that will be framed as an idealogical conflict.
In that case, the communisitic ideology will come back and the millions
of people will believe again that to make their lives better, they should attack
and destroy the bastians of capitalism or, if to speak about the Islamic war,
so...those peole...also the millions of those peole they want to make their
lives better....they have to attack or fight against the infidel and to take
part of their wealth and to share it.
Q:
I can see that you care very passionately about these issues and it's
very...
A:
Yeah, because I live in a country which has only ten years leaving behind
the burden of the communistic ideology, which also making all us the enemies of
the U.S. of the West, you know, and feeling that we had our poor life simply
because someone was robbing us. But
in reality it was the communistic ???...which was robbing us. So it's a part of my life.
That's why I'm responding in this way.
But at the same time I'm trying to think about all those hundreds of
people who still live in the poor world...in the world where they have no hope
for tomorrow. And when they don't
know what to do or how to live and that's why they are becoming the victims for
the propaganda of the local...say...some propagandist and these propagandists
turn them against the United States
and the West. This is what makes me
feel very passionate and very...why the U.S. is working in the same
direction...why the U.S. government is doing the things which really supports
this idea.
Q:
Which really supports the...?
A:
The views of the propagandists. Those
who are against the west because the West is the enemy they say.
Yes, the one who bombs us or who kills my friends or my relatives, or my
children, of course, is my enemy.
Q:
And you're saying the U.S. plays
into that by continuing the violence?
A:
Unfortunately, yes. Unfortunately,
yes. Because you know just now, I
feel since I am working in the Institute of U.S. and Canada studies and I'm
studying the situation of the U.S. And the world, I feel that the image of the
U.S. as the hope, as the source of hope for the millions of people now is
changing into the image of the source of hostility - source of threat.
Q:
Yeah.
A:
This is extremely important for the future.
Q:
You just mentioned one of the places that you're working. Before we close, I have a couple of
closing questions for
you, one of which: Can you
describe a little bit about the PIN group that you're working on with Professor
Zartman and any of the other current things that you're doing that would be
helpful for us to know.
A:
Oh, yes, of course. Of
course. So first something...a few
lines about the location, which is the International Institute for Applied
Analysis...a think tank, established jointly by the United States and the
Soveity Union in the early seventies to work together on the subject of which
were talking...and that is resources development, population development, energy
and other "non-political matters".
So the fruitful ideas spelled out by the clever and responsible people in
the midst of the Cold War that we should combine our forces to work on the
subject which would determine our future.
And as an addition to that, the idea which was spelled by the first
American director of the Institute, ?name?, that is, we should also study the
process of negotiation because there is no other way how these problems may be
solved but only through negotiation. So
to say from the very beginning it was a choice...no conflict, no imposition, no
coersion, only negotiation. So...
And I was maybe one of the first Soviets who was sent there in early
eighties to try to begin this project on the status of the international
negotiations and second how to make the process of international negotiations a
part of the solution of the international problems.
Several years we spent in just looking for partners in the
project, sources of funding, and finally, it was on the generous support of the
Carnegie Corporation of New York that finally this project was launched in the
year of eight-six or eighty-seven. So
the format, which was suggested by the then director of the Institute, Bob
Pry from the United States, a very clever person...was that there should be a
steering committee for this project, which would incorporate the people rom
different cultures, like mayself, a Soviet, two Americans, Bill Zartman and Jeff
Ruben...the late Jeff Ruben from the program on negotiation which the Harvard
University...a Swedish, a German, an Austrian, a French, so it was a host of the
international scholars coming from different disciplines like history, as
myself, or political science as Zartman or lawyers, like the Austrian,
mathematician, the German and so on, which were...decided to unite their
knowledge, their connections, their views in order to work out something like a
generally accepted negotiation strategies. And
since then we have worked, we meet there regularly three times a year...there or
in some other nation where we make launches.
And when set the subject for topics for our book projects and thus we
have already published something like a dozen of the books on the different
aspects of the negotiation processs, including the opening book, which I edited
on the international negotiation, which was a real success and there was a
second edition published by Josey Bass in the year 2002.
By the way, the book as received the Book Award of the CPR Institute on
district resolution. So still
we have something like another dozen of the books in the pipeline coming up.
So this is what we are doing, working together and contributing into
the general understanding of the different aspects of the
international negotiations. And the second, of course, the active policy of dissemination
because we have our newsletter, which we've sent to the four thousand addresses.
And besides, every year, once or twice, we meet with different audiences.
Sometimes very exoctic like Argentina or China or Japan and we speak to
the audiences on the subject that we are doing.
We are supported financially not by this Institute.
The Institute is only for us to seige location.
But financially, we are supported by the Hewlett Foundation.
We have also our students in this Institute...some younger people who are
our future and our hope. And I say
again, originally, it was begun as a firm choice between the alternatives of
coersion and negotiation and we opted for this negotiation.
And now I'm trying to add some more of the conflict management subjects
into this research. So far, it has not acquired any material form. But I have
written papers and I am sending them around on the possibilities of conflict
management in this current situation, and in the forthcoming future. And I strongly hope that
maybe one day, within this
PIN group, we shall start also maybe conflict management and
negotiation.
Q:
How do you see the main differnce between conflict management and
negotiation?
A:
Oh, negotiation is a tool, you know.
Conflict management is a strategy. I
cannot...just...briefly...you know, because conflict management is a certain
strategy of action undertaken by the group of people, of the nations, of the
companies and so on, in order tokeep the possible conflicts existing or possible
future conflicts under some sort of control and...with the purpose of resolving
them. But if they are intractable,
as you say, at least to keep them under control.
Negotiation is the main tool how to do that. Of course, it's not simply a tool...not simply an
instrument.
The negotiation itself was the whole microcosm, but still relations
between them is that..one is the purpose...the other one is the mechanism how to
do it.
Q:
That's a helpful distinction. Over
the course of our conversation, you've mentioned a number of different books and
articles that you've published or published with other people, and one of the
focuses of this project is actually to collect a list of references that we can
provide for people on our website. I don't know what the best way to get the
exact names of the books and even bilbiolographical references, if possible.
One thing I've been doing with the some of the other people I've
interviewed is that I've e-mailed them a reminder e-mail with a list of the
things that you've mentioned like the book from 1995 that you and Professor
Zartman wrote or the papers on conflict management that you just..that you just
wrote recently. Would it be helpful
for us to do that? Then I'll send
you an e-mail to prompt you to send me back some more spcific references or
since you're on vacation, would it be more helpful for us to go through it now,
and I can tell you the ones that I've highlighted if you wanna tell me some
names...be easier for you.
Q:
One thing I can suggest immediately; the one other I can promise within
ten days---not earlier than that.
A:
The first thing... There is
such a company... I think that you can look it up in some of the...of the
dictionaries, which is called Contemporary Writer.
Have you every heard about that?
Q:
Contemporary Writers?
A:
Ah...
Q:
It is somewhere in the United States.
They send periodically, the questionnaires to me and I responded to them,
so I should. And I have sent to
them the list of my recent papers, maybe written during the last fifteen years,
articles, books, whatever that exists. They
have never confirmed to me that they have received it.
You know, I remember that I have received from the questionnaire and they
asked me to send them this list, and I have done that.
But they...if you can find them anywhere and you can asked them.
Because I've never received anything like a book or anything, which I
could look up, you know, my documentation.
.
Q:
Okay.
A:
But the good thing is that I have that list.
It's still,I think, two years old because I think I made it two years
ago, but I can refresh it very quickly, and I can send it to you individually.
But I say that that can be made not ealier than two weeks.
Q:
Okay. That's
fine. That timing is fine.
A:
Yes?
Q:
Well, what I can do is send you an e-mail as a reminder foor you to
forward on the names of the books to me by e-mail.
A:
Okay. But you should try
this Contemporary Writers.
Q:
I will. I'll try the first.
I gues I'll look on the web to see if I can track them down.
A:
Yeah, because they should be someonwhere, you know...
This is something like a dictionary edition because they send out to
people in the whole world who publish something...and they ask...please send
us...and they have something like this...the information on the people who
write.
Q:
Okay.
A:
But I say, if you fail to do that or they have not received what I have
sent to them, then, of course, I'll have to find this paper and to refresh it
and then to send it.
Q:
Okay. That sounds like a
good plan. So I will try to locate
the Contemporary Writers and ask them if they can send me your list, and if they
can't, then I'll follow up with you by e-mail.
A:
Okay.
Q:
And the timeframe you suggested sounds fine, so.
Anything you'd like me to know before we officially close the interview
that I didn't ask you about? I know
we've talked for awhile. I really
appreciate it.
A:
Yeah, let's make a break. Afterwords,
I shall remember something.
Q:
Well, if you do, feel free to send an e-mail or whatever you'd like.
A:
Okay.
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