Article Summary of "Judgmental Biases in Conflict Resolution and How to Overcome Them" by Leigh Thompson and Janice Nadler
Citation: Thompson, Leigh and Janice Nadler. "Judgmental Biases in Conflict Resolution and How to Overcome Them", in Deutsch, Morton and Peter T. Coleman, eds. The Handbook of Conflict Resolution: Theory and Practice. San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass Publishers, 2000. 213-235.
This Article Summary written by: Conflict Research Consortium Staff
Thompson and Nadler argue that cognitive biases often interfere with
productive conflict resolution. Negotiators are often unaware of such
biases, instead blaming blocked resolutions processes on party intransigence or
self-interest. Acting to identify and counter cognitive biases makes
for more effective conflict resolution.
Commonplace ways of thinking, which are effective and accurate in
normal circumstances, can systematically produce errors and wrong judgements in
a conflict situation. "In conflict, bias is apt to occur because conflict
often leads to inadequate communication between the negotiating parties;
arousal of emotional tensions that constrict thinking to stereotypes and to
black-and-white viewpoints; primary focus on opposed interests; and anxiety,
which may propel one to deny the conflict or flee into agreement before thinking
through the consequences."(214)
The authors identify four common types of bias, and their related
effects. The first bias is the tendency to simplify the conflict
situation. This can lead parties to rely on stereotypes, and to ignore
information that is inconsistent with their initial beliefs. It can also
lead to false understandings of cause-and-effect relationships. For example,
each side may view the others' "aggressive" acts as the cause of their own
"defensive" response, ie., each side thinks the other caused the conflict.
The second bias is a tendency to exaggerate the degree of opposition between the parties. One form of this is the (often false) fixed-pie
perception. If resource amounts are fixed, then one parties gain will be
another's loss. Another is the tendency to overestimate the extremity of
the other side's beliefs. This bias can also lead to lose-lose outcomes,
as parties remain caught in their (exaggeratedly opposed) conflict.
A third common bias is a tendency to make a false dichotomy between
cooperation and competition. Parties assume they must adopt either a
purely competitive strategy, or a purely cooperative stance. This can lead
to escalation, or to excessive concessions, and ultimately to suboptimal
solutions.
A final bias is the (usually unconscious) tendency to favor one's own
interests and self, even when consciously trying to be fair and objective. Egocentric bias regularly leads people to overestimate their own positive
contributions and responsibility.
These biases have implications for conflict management. Since both involved and third parties tend to exaggerate the degree of
opposition, mediators must take care to form an accurate understanding of the conflict, and to help the parties formulate a more accurate view of the
interests involved. This also helps to moderate each party's tendency to
see the other as unreasonable and extreme. A clearer perception
of the interests, and of the possibility of compatible interests, would
also help parties avoid lose-lose outcomes.
Egocentric bias leads people to think they have more control over a
situation that they actually do. The authors note that this bias
"suggests a tactic for concession during conflict resolution: tell your opponent
that you will make a concession simultaneously with or just after he makes a
concession. This fosters the illusion of control in you opponent."(224) The opponent will feel he will "cause" you to make a concession by making one
himself. Mediators can exploit this bias to encourage mutual concessions
by suggesting to each party that the other is ripe to be influenced by a
concession.
Egocentric bias also leads to (unconsciously) biased judgements of
fairness. In a conflict, this can make agreeing on a solution very
difficult. Even when each party proposes what they believe to be a fair
solution, "each party's conception of fairness is tainted by self interest, so
that each solution is most favorable to the party proposing it."(225)
Strong identification with a group can help mitigate egocentric bias by making
people more willing to seek the good of the group. People are more likely
to act for the benefit of a group if the members like each other, and if
they feel respected by the group authorities.
Opposition bias can lead to reactive devaluation, where a party values
an offer or settlement less based on their reaction to the other party.
For instance, a party might reject a concession or offer based simply on her
suspicion of the other side's motive--reasoning that if the other side is
willing to give it, then it must benefit them somehow, and hence be a loss for
her. Similar reasoning means that the more satisfied the opponent is
with a settlement, the less satisfied the first party becomes.
Finally, the authors discuss the "schmooze effect." Negotiations go
best when there is a rapport and trust between the parties. Lack of
any personal rapport makes interactions tense, and parties typically attribute
their felt unease to malevolence of the part of the other party. When
parties are strangers, or cannot negotiate face-to-face, then they should make a
particular effort to get to know one another before negotiating; to
introduce themselves, exchange pictures, discuss personal interests, and so on.
Conflict resolution training should include training in methods of reducing
these types of cognitive errors. Many of these biases are
unconscious. Feedback can help make negotiators aware of their
biases. Complete feedback on the process is most likely to reduce the
effects of bias in subsequent negotiations. Negotiators should also be
trained to reason by analogy from previous negotiation
experience. The authors suggest five key strategies which negotiators
should learn: build trust and share information, ask questions, provide
information, make multiple simultaneous offers, and after the initial settlement
search for further and better settlement options.
|